21日希腊在宣布一系列紧缩政策以后,获得了欧盟80亿元的贷款(当然估计又会引发各种罢工……)
http://news.hexun.com/2011-10-22/134456280.html
周末就要举行欧盟峰会了,之前大家对这次会议能达成什么结果不是抱有太多希望,黄金下跌,之后乐观情绪恢复,股市黄金跟着一起反弹(据说标准普尔500指数跟黄金的相关性升到今年最高,他们穿起一条裤子了!)。
http://www.fx168.com/fx168html/20111022/20111022055381080.htm
不过也有人担心这次峰会会对一些关键问题进行拖延,因为,因为下周三可能还要开会!(不管是好是坏,请给个痛快吧!)
而法国则有可能成为下一个评级下调的国家,这可就麻烦大了!
http://www.fx168.com/fx168html/20111022/20111022100788080.htm
http://news.hexun.com/2011-10-22/134457011.html
其实自己是个懒惰的人,每次都不想在这里写东西,不但因为要看新闻,而且每次写都要面对自己一个月的判断跟操作都是失误的事实。预测市场就如同追逐善变的精灵,看着也许很美丽,但是到头来失败居多。今天看到Kitco上一篇评论(很快就会有中文版)
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Nadler/oct212011.html
“
He also believes that “even fund managers with great track records are living on borrowed time. “They have skill and they have luck. There are some periods when luck combines with skill and they wind up looking infallible.” That’s usually around when they crash and burn. I find myself amazed that those people, knowing what they should know—that most of it is luck—can go on TV and say the market is going to go up or go down. It is supreme overconfidence. Anybody, no matter how good their track record, who tries to outguess the markets in a shaky economy like this one, is asking for trouble.”
We leave you now with the wisdom of the good Professor to ponder over the weekend:
“People expect that gurus are going to be right all the time. They jump from guru to guru, but there are no gurus.”
”
许多人仅仅只依靠运气在市场上赚钱。人们寻求可以跟随的大师,但是实际上这个市场上本没有什么大师。今年不是一个赚钱的好年景,保尔森,格罗斯都亏钱了,尤其是保尔森,特别惨。也许不该凭借一年的业绩来看待他们,但是也不得不让我们感叹交易的世界里头也许并没有常胜将军或者所谓的“大师”。
那么,下周,如何?下周大概还是震荡走势,月底会触及低点,我相信11月会有一个好开头。最不期望看见,但是也有可能的是黄金回撤到1500附近。
以上,个人笔记,写着好玩,不构成任何投资建议。
good luck!